Deep Wave Research is an independent research lab developing methods for extracting, modelling, and forecasting structure in noisy and evolving systems.
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Forecasting tropical-Pacific temperature fields in complex-wavelet space. Prediction and observed reference across wavelet levels, December 2024 at a 14-month lead. A favorable case selected from development validation.
Signal Processing · Machine Learning · Climate
Two 14-month tropical-Pacific SST forecast products built in an exactly invertible 37-channel dual-tree complex-wavelet space: a CMIP6-pretrained persistence-residual Earthformer, and a 32-member residual-diffusion ensemble sampled around its frozen center.
Machine Learning · Probabilistic Forecasting · Financial Markets
A completed comparative study of regime-adaptive probabilistic forecasting on the BTCUSDT perpetual surface: a from-scratch multi-resolution encoder against frozen and LoRA-fine-tuned Chronos-T5 and Moirai-MoE lanes, evaluated under strict purged walk-forward splits with rolling conformal recalibration.
Signal Processing · Forecasting · Financial Markets
A controlled comparison of raw and wavelet features against matched linear and neural baselines for multi-step return forecasting.